Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cogeces del Monte: PP would keep its majority

Cogeces del Monte (Valladolid, 630 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 51.7% of the vote (2023: 53.4%) Majority 72%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.7% of the vote (2023: 36.1%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 28% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cogeces del Monte

Cogeces del Monte is a municipality in the province of Valladolid with 630 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 225 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 53.4% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 76.1% of the 561 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 72% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.4% → 51.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.1% → 31.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.6% → 15.7% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 427 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cogeces del Monte in size, in Valladolid

Every municipality in Valladolid → · All of Spain →