Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sumacàrcer: PSOE would keep its majority

Sumacàrcer (Valencia/València, 1,054 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 58.7% of the vote (2023: 60.1%) Majority 93%
PP+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 38.4%) Majority 7%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sumacàrcer

Sumacàrcer is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 1,054 inhabitants, the 180th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 60.1% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 83.2% of the 907 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 93% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 60.1% → 58.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.4% → 39.8% 3 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 755 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sumacàrcer in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →