Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Serra: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Serra (Valencia/València, 3,405 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 39.3%) Majority 7%
AGRUPACION ELECTORAL LA TORRE DE PORTACOELI+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 21.9%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Serra

Serra is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 3,405 inhabitants, the 98th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 39.3% of the vote and 5 seats; AGRUPACION ELECTORAL LA TORRE DE PORTACOELI was second with 2. 76.2% of the 2,748 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 39.3% → 35.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. AGRUPACION ELECTORAL LA TORRE DE PORTACOELILocal lists 22.3% → 23.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 21.9% → 21.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 8.1% → 14.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 7.5% → 5.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,094 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Serra in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →