España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

San Antonio de Benagéber: no list would have a majority, AISAB largest

San Antonio de Benagéber (Valencia/València, 9,874 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AISAB±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.8% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 18.4%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
UCIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AISABLocal lists 34.5% → 34.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.8% → 20.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.4% → 17.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 15.5% → 11.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. UCINLocal lists 7.3% → 7.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PROGRESSASAB-EUPV: ENDAVANTSumar, Podemos and allies 5.7% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. TODOS SOMOS SABLocal lists 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,166 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Antonio de Benagéber in size, in Valencia/València

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