Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Rafelbunyol: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Rafelbunyol (Valencia/València, 9,381 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 42.3%) Majority 18%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 28.2%) Majority 1%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 16.4%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 42.3% → 40.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.2% → 28.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 16.4% → 13.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.0% → 13.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. R.E.P.O. D.S.Local lists 2.9% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. EUPV: ENDAVANTSumar, Podemos and allies 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,019 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rafelbunyol in size, in Valencia/València

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