Montserrat: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Montserrat (Valencia/València, 9,017 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 4,101valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Montserrat
Montserrat is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 9,017 inhabitants, the 59th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 30.8% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 4. 63.4% of the 6,470 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 28.8% → 27.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.8% → 26.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 15.8% → 23.8% 2 → 3 councillors
- A.I.G.U.A.Local lists 9.7% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 12.5% → 9.3% 2 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,101 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.