Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Quart de Poblet: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Quart de Poblet (Valencia/València, 25,167 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 43.1% of the vote (2023: 45.4%) Majority 32%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 21.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 15.3%) Majority 0%
PODEM - EUPV - IA: UNIDAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.4% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Quart de Poblet

Quart de Poblet is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 25,167 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 45.4% of the vote and 10 seats; PP was second with 5. 69.3% of the 20,076 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 10 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.4% → 43.1% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 21.6% → 21.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.3% → 17.6% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 15.3% → 12.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. PODEM - EUPV - IA: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,916 valid votes including 126 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Quart de Poblet in size, in Valencia/València

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