Oliva: no list would have a majority, PRO OLIVA largest
Oliva (Valencia/València, 25,179 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 60%no list with a majority
- 12,126valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Oliva
Oliva is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 25,179 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PRO OLIVA came first with 42.3% of the vote and 10 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 69.2% of the 17,519 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PRO OLIVA would be largest on 10 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PRO OLIVALocal lists 42.3% → 44.4% 10 → 10 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 18.7% → 15.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 15.9% → 12.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 10.4% → 9.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 8.3% → 8.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.3% → 7.8% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,126 valid votes including 126 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.