Oliva: no list would have a majority, PRO OLIVA largest
Oliva (Valencia/València, 25,179 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 60%no list with a majority
- 12,126valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PRO OLIVA±0
10
councillors (2023: 10) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 42.3%)
Majority 40%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 15.8% of the vote (2023: 18.7%)
Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 15.9%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 10.4%)
Majority 0%
UCIN±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 3.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PRO OLIVALocal lists 42.3% → 44.4% 10 → 10 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 18.7% → 15.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 15.9% → 12.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 10.4% → 9.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 8.3% → 8.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.3% → 7.8% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,126 valid votes including 126 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.