Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Náquera: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Náquera (Valencia/València, 7,728 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 29.0%) Majority 12%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 24.8%) Majority 0%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.1% of the vote (2023: 20.1%) Majority 0%
UPDN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Náquera

Náquera is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 7,728 inhabitants, the 65th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 VOX came first with 29% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 64.8% of the 6,062 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 29.0% → 39.1% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 24.8% → 20.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 20.1% → 18.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. UPDNLocal lists 13.6% → 13.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 11.0% → 7.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,927 valid votes including 59 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Náquera in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →