Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Miramar: PSOE would keep its majority

Miramar (Valencia/València, 2,831 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 60.0% of the vote (2023: 58.7%) Majority 98%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 23.9%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Miramar

Miramar is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 2,831 inhabitants, the 110th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 58.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; ACORD PER GUANYAR was second with 2. 70.8% of the 2,195 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 58.7% → 60.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 23.9% → 21.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.2% → 16.9% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,554 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Miramar in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →