Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Manuel: PSOE would keep its majority

Manuel (Valencia/València, 2,496 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 67.5% of the vote (2023: 65.8%) Majority over 99%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 20.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 65.8% → 67.5% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 20.6% → 18.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 12.8% → 13.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,526 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Manuel in size, in Valencia/València

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