Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Pobla del Duc: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

La Pobla del Duc (Valencia/València, 2,447 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 47%
PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 42.2% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority 19%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 35% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.2% → 47.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.7% → 42.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 11.3% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,545 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Pobla del Duc in size, in Valencia/València

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