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La Pobla del Duc: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

La Pobla del Duc (Valencia/València, 2,447 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 47%
PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 42.2% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority 19%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 35% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Pobla del Duc

La Pobla del Duc is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 2,447 inhabitants, the 120th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 83.6% of the 1,848 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.2% → 47.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.7% → 42.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 11.3% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,545 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Pobla del Duc in size, in Valencia/València

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