Rafelguaraf: PSOE would keep its majority
Rafelguaraf (Valencia/València, 2,360 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 76%PSOE majority
- 1,545valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 52.0% of the vote (2023: 57.6%)
Majority 76%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 26.8% of the vote (2023: 28.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 13.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 57.6% → 52.0% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 28.2% → 26.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 13.0% → 20.1% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,545 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.