Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Pobla de Vallbona: no list would have a majority, PP largest

La Pobla de Vallbona (Valencia/València, 25,625 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 27.3% of the vote (2023: 28.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 23.5%) Majority 0%
CELP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
C.U.PO.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Pobla de Vallbona

La Pobla de Vallbona is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 25,625 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 28.5% of the vote and 7 seats; ACORD PER GUANYAR was second with 5. 70.3% of the 19,345 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 28.5% → 27.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. VOXVox 14.9% → 22.7% 3 → 5 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 23.5% → 19.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. CELPLocal lists 8.8% → 9.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. C.U.PO.Local lists 7.9% → 8.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 10.1% → 7.2% 2 → 1 councillors
  7. CONTIGOLocal lists 3.6% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. L´ESQUERRA DE LA POBLA-AMERC 1.6% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,596 valid votes including 149 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Pobla de Vallbona in size, in Valencia/València

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