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L'Alcúdia: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

L'Alcúdia (Valencia/València, 12,176 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 38%
PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 41.9% of the vote (2023: 39.3%) Majority 13%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About L'Alcúdia

L'Alcúdia is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 12,176 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 46.9% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 7. 73.3% of the 8,965 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 46.9% → 46.5% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.3% → 41.9% 7 → 8 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 12.6% → 10.4% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,570 valid votes including 82 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near L'Alcúdia in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →