Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gilet: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Gilet (Valencia/València, 3,601 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.9% of the vote (2023: 43.9%) Majority 23%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 19.8%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 77% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.9% → 39.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 15.1% → 23.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.8% → 18.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 16.8% → 13.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,858 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gilet in size, in Valencia/València

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