Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villar del Arzobispo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Villar del Arzobispo (Valencia/València, 3,581 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 41.1%) Majority 35%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 11%
EUPV:ADELANTE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 12.1%) Majority 0%
SEF+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.1% → 43.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 38.9% → 37.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. EUPV:ADELANTESumar, Podemos and allies 12.1% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. SEFLocal lists 7.1% → 8.0% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,088 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villar del Arzobispo in size, in Valencia/València

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