Estivella: no list would have a majority, ACORD PER GUANYAR largest
Estivella (Valencia/València, 1,559 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 949valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Estivella
Estivella is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 1,559 inhabitants, the 149th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ACORD PER GUANYAR came first with 37.8% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 72.9% of the 1,301 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ACORD PER GUANYAR would be largest on 3 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 37.8% → 33.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.8% → 30.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.5% → 17.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 17.7% → 17.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 949 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.