Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Daimús: PP would win a majority

Daimús (Valencia/València, 3,274 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 45.4%) Majority 52%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 7%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.0% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Daimús

Daimús is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 3,274 inhabitants, the 100th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 45.4% of the vote and 5 seats; ACORD PER GUANYAR was second with 5. 68.5% of the 2,749 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 52% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.4% → 46.7% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 39.9% → 35.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.9% → 10.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 8.4% → 6.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,884 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Daimús in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →