Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alfarrasí: PP would keep its majority

Alfarrasí (Valencia/València, 1,217 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.7% of the vote (2023: 49.8%) Majority 62%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.3% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 38%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Alfarrasí

Alfarrasí is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 1,217 inhabitants, the 162nd largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 49.8% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 85.8% of the 938 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 62% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.8% → 51.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 49.2% → 47.3% 4 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 805 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alfarrasí in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →