Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aielo de Malferit: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Aielo de Malferit (Valencia/València, 4,589 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.5% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 12%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority 1%
PER AIELO+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Aielo de Malferit

Aielo de Malferit is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 4,589 inhabitants, the 82nd largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.4% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 82.3% of the 3,459 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.4% → 39.5% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.2% → 29.9% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PER AIELOLocal lists 13.7% → 15.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 16.8% → 14.4% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,846 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aielo de Malferit in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →