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Agullent: UNITS PER AGULLENT would win a majority

Agullent (Valencia/València, 2,361 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UNITS PER AGULLENT+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 47.0% of the vote (2023: 41.9%) Majority 49%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 47.6%) Majority 33%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Agullent

Agullent is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 2,361 inhabitants, the 122nd largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ACORD PER GUANYAR came first with 47.6% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; UNITS PER AGULLENT was second with 5. 81.1% of the 1,927 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UNITS PER AGULLENT on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 49% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UNITS PER AGULLENTLocal lists 41.9% → 47.0% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 47.6% → 44.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PPPP 7.9% → 7.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,562 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Agullent in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →