San Pablo de los Montes: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
San Pablo de los Montes (Toledo, 1,696 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 67%no list with a majority
- 1,158valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 43.8% of the vote (2023: 48.2%)
Majority 32%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 33.2%)
Majority 1%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 13.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 48.2% → 43.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 33.2% → 32.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 13.3% → 20.8% 1 → 2 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,158 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.