San Martín de Montalbán: PSOE would keep its majority
San Martín de Montalbán (Toledo, 699 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 99%PSOE majority
- 426valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About San Martín de Montalbán
San Martín de Montalbán is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 699 inhabitants, the 135th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 63.4% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 77% of the 553 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 63.4% → 62.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.1% → 34.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- UPMLocal lists 2.8% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 426 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.