España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Recas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Recas (Toledo, 4,552 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.2% of the vote (2023: 43.4%) Majority 31%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.6% of the vote (2023: 35.4%) Majority under 1%
UCIN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 17.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.4% → 45.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 35.4% → 33.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UCINLocal lists 17.9% → 19.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,750 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Recas in size, in Toledo

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