España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Quero: PSOE would keep its majority

Quero (Toledo, 985 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 66.4% of the vote (2023: 67.4%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Quero

Quero is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 985 inhabitants, the 118th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 67.4% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 79.1% of the 857 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 67.4% → 66.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.3% → 32.3% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 678 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Quero in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →