España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Castillo de Bayuela: PP would keep its majority

Castillo de Bayuela (Toledo, 895 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 55.8% of the vote (2023: 53.8%) Majority 83%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.1% of the vote (2023: 46.0%) Majority 17%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.8% → 55.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 46.0% → 44.1% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 656 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castillo de Bayuela in size, in Toledo

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