Olías del Rey: PSOE would keep its majority
Olías del Rey (Toledo, 8,469 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 59%PSOE majority
- 4,647valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Olías del Rey
Olías del Rey is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 8,469 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 51% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 73.9% of the 6,288 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 59% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.0% → 47.4% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 32.9% → 32.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 8.1% → 14.3% 1 → 2 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,647 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.