Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Olías del Rey: PSOE would keep its majority

Olías del Rey (Toledo, 8,469 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 47.4% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 59%
PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.5% of the vote (2023: 32.9%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 51.0% → 47.4% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.9% → 32.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.1% → 14.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,647 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olías del Rey in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →