La Guardia: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
La Guardia (Toledo, 2,163 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%no list with a majority
- 1,405valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 40.8% of the vote (2023: 40.9%)
Majority 9%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 35.3% of the vote (2023: 33.0%)
Majority 2%
UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IU−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.6% of the vote (2023: 24.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 40.9% → 40.8% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.0% → 35.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 24.8% → 22.6% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,405 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.