Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Huerta de Valdecarábanos: PP would keep its majority

Huerta de Valdecarábanos (Toledo, 1,726 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 55.3% of the vote (2023: 57.1%) Majority 89%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 33.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 9.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 57.1% → 55.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.4% → 29.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.0% → 14.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,155 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Huerta de Valdecarábanos in size, in Toledo

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