Esquivias: PP would keep its majority
Esquivias (Toledo, 5,740 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 2,978valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 56.4% of the vote (2023: 54.8%)
Majority 97%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 29.6%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 11.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 3.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.8% → 56.4% 8 → 8 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 29.6% → 25.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 11.7% → 9.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.1% → 7.8% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,978 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.