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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Toledo

Calzada de Oropesa: UCIN would keep its majority

Calzada de Oropesa (Toledo, 510 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UCIN±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 48.9% of the vote (2023: 46.8%) Majority 81%
CIC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.9% of the vote (2023: 29.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 15.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Calzada de Oropesa

Calzada de Oropesa is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 510 inhabitants, the 150th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UCIN came first with 46.8% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; CIC was second with 2. 83.7% of the 449 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UCIN on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 81% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UCINLocal lists 46.8% → 48.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. CICLocal lists 29.5% → 30.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.4% → 14.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 7.2% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 376 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calzada de Oropesa in size, in Toledo

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