España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cervera de los Montes: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cervera de los Montes (Toledo, 508 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 40.7%) Majority 4%
VOX±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 34.1% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 2%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 33.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.7% → 37.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. VOXVox 25.1% → 34.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 33.1% → 27.5% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 354 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cervera de los Montes in size, in Toledo

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