Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Albarreal de Tajo: PSOE would keep its majority

Albarreal de Tajo (Toledo, 692 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.1% of the vote (2023: 54.7%) Majority 71%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.9% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Albarreal de Tajo

Albarreal de Tajo is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 692 inhabitants, the 137th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 54.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 79.9% of the 583 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 71% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.7% → 50.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.8% → 34.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.9% → 12.4% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 466 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Albarreal de Tajo in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →