Olba: EXISTE would win a majority
Olba (Teruel, 266 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 55%EXISTE majority
- 171valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EXISTE+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 44.4%)
Majority 55%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 49.1%)
Majority 45%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EXISTELocal lists 44.4% → 47.8% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 49.1% → 46.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 6.4% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 171 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.