Báguena: PAR would keep its majority
Báguena (Teruel, 271 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PAR majority
- 160valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PAR±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 70.1% of the vote (2023: 68.8%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 25.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PARLocal lists 68.8% → 70.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 25.6% → 24.3% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 160 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.