Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vinyols i els Arcs: VIA-AM would keep its majority

Vinyols i els Arcs (Tarragona, 2,258 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VIA-AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 60.5% of the vote (2023: 50.4%) Majority 98%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.2% of the vote (2023: 41.5%) Majority 2%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vinyols i els Arcs

Vinyols i els Arcs is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 2,258 inhabitants, the 61st largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 VIA-AM came first with 50.4% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 5. 72.1% of the 1,641 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps VIA-AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VIA-AMERC 50.4% → 60.5% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 41.5% → 35.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 3.0% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 4.6% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,183 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vinyols i els Arcs in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →