Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Riudecanyes: ERC - AM would keep its majority

Riudecanyes (Tarragona, 1,279 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 58.9% of the vote (2023: 50.7%) Majority 96%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 4%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Riudecanyes

Riudecanyes is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,279 inhabitants, the 75th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 50.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 4. 67.3% of the 929 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 50.7% → 58.9% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 45.9% → 37.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 625 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Riudecanyes in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →