Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Riba-roja d'Ebre: RR - AM would win a majority

Riba-roja d'Ebre (Tarragona, 1,131 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

RR - AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.9% of the vote (2023: 38.7%) Majority 53%
CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.1% of the vote (2023: 47.1%) Majority 19%
CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.5% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 29% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Riba-roja d'Ebre

Riba-roja d'Ebre is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,131 inhabitants, the 82nd largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 47.1% of the vote and 4 seats; RR - AM was second with 4. 80.4% of the 877 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps RR - AM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 53% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. RR - AMERC 38.7% → 47.9% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 47.1% → 41.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CPPSOE 12.8% → 9.5% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 705 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Riba-roja d'Ebre in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →