España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Móra la Nova: ERC - AM would win a majority

Móra la Nova (Tarragona, 3,198 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 53.2% of the vote (2023: 44.2%) Majority 84%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.0% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 16% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 44.2% → 53.2% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 27.1% → 23.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 26.8% → 22.0% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,427 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Móra la Nova in size, in Tarragona

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