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Montferri: no list would have a majority, SM - AMUNT largest

Montferri (Tarragona, 419 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SM - AMUNT±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 42.3% of the vote (2023: 41.9%) Majority 29%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 2%
TSM-AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 69% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montferri

Montferri is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 419 inhabitants, the 133rd largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 SM - AMUNT came first with 41.9% of the vote and 3 seats; CM was second with 3. 69.8% of the 325 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: SM - AMUNT would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SM - AMUNTCUP 41.9% → 42.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. CMJunts 39.2% → 34.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. TSM-AMERC 16.3% → 20.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 227 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montferri in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →