El Rourell: RPC-AM would win a majority
El Rourell (Tarragona, 395 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 63%RPC-AM majority
- 230valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
RPC-AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 51.1% of the vote (2023: 42.6%)
Majority 63%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 47.5% of the vote (2023: 56.1%)
Majority 37%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- RPC-AMERC 42.6% → 51.1% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 56.1% → 47.5% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 230 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.