Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Miravet: A - AM would keep its majority

Miravet (Tarragona, 682 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

A - AM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.4% of the vote (2023: 51.2%) Majority 89%
XTU±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 41.2% of the vote (2023: 46.3%) Majority 11%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Miravet

Miravet is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 682 inhabitants, the 103rd largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 A - AM came first with 51.2% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; XTU was second with 3. 78.2% of the 524 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps A - AM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. A - AMERC 51.2% → 56.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. XTULocal lists 46.3% → 41.2% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 410 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Miravet in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →