Llorenç del Penedès: ERC - AM would keep its majority
Llorenç del Penedès (Tarragona, 2,393 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%ERC - AM majority
- 1,145valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Llorenç del Penedès
Llorenç del Penedès is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 2,393 inhabitants, the 58th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 62.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CALL-ARA PL was second with 3. 60.7% of the 1,885 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 62.2% → 72.2% 7 → 9 councillors
- CALL-ARA PLSumar, Podemos and allies 25.7% → 19.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.7% → 7.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,145 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Llorenç del Penedès in size, in Tarragona
- Vilallonga del Camp2,398 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Bellvei2,346 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Pla de Santa Maria2,340 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Vinyols i els Arcs2,258 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Albinyana2,581 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Les Borges del Camp2,148 inhabitants · 11 councillors