La Sénia: no list would have a majority, ES-ERC-AM largest
La Sénia (Tarragona, 5,475 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 50%no list with a majority
- 2,597valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ES-ERC-AM+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 46.8% of the vote (2023: 37.6%)
Majority 50%
FS-MTE - C−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 28.3% of the vote (2023: 34.5%)
Majority 0%
AS±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 15.0%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 10.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ES-ERC-AMERC 37.6% → 46.8% 5 → 6 councillors
- FS-MTE - CSumar, Podemos and allies 34.5% → 28.3% 5 → 4 councillors
- ASLocal lists 15.0% → 15.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.9% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,597 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.