L'Ametlla de Mar: ERC - AM would win a majority
L'Ametlla de Mar (Tarragona, 7,209 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 58%ERC - AM majority
- 2,889valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+2
7
councillors (2023: 5) · 45.9% of the vote (2023: 35.9%)
Majority 58%
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 33.9%)
Majority 1%
PSC-CP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 12.1%)
Majority 0%
EPC-MTE - C±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 9.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 40% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 35.9% → 45.9% 5 → 7 councillors
- CMJunts 33.9% → 30.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 12.1% → 9.3% 2 → 1 councillors
- EPC-MTE - CSumar, Podemos and allies 9.5% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.7% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,889 valid votes including 84 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.