Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Garcia: UPG - AM would keep its majority

Garcia (Tarragona, 527 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPG - AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 81.2% of the vote (2023: 77.3%) Majority over 99%
CM−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 15.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Garcia

Garcia is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 527 inhabitants, the 122nd largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UPG - AM came first with 77.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 1. 65.6% of the 389 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UPG - AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPG - AMERC 77.3% → 81.2% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 15.3% → 11.4% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 255 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Garcia in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →